tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7985429043801017839.post7231204786121578305..comments2023-10-27T07:50:27.411+01:00Comments on Next Left: Never rule out raceTom Hampsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05917325958130851128noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7985429043801017839.post-10086325609922153222008-10-15T16:50:00.000+01:002008-10-15T16:50:00.000+01:00On a more positive note, it is also possible that ...On a more positive note, it is also possible that there could be something of a 'reverse Bradley effect', whereby normally Republican voters don't admit in polls that they will vote for a Black Democrat...but then do because they can't stand McCain. <BR/><BR/>(The presence of 'heartlands' Palin on the ticket might flip the reverse back again though!)Tim Gorehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12996761924636152135noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7985429043801017839.post-26230171154826458002008-10-13T22:18:00.000+01:002008-10-13T22:18:00.000+01:00* This is George Packer's New Yorker piece on the ...* This is George Packer's <A HREF="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/10/13/081013fa_fact_packer" REL="nofollow">New Yorker piece</A> on the white working-class in Ohio, which Stuart mentions<BR/><BR/>* There is an interesting and sceptical piece about the <A HREF="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/the_bradley_effect_selective_m.html" REL="nofollow">Bradley effect</A> in the 1982 California race on RealClearPolitics. (It by one of the strategists on the other side, but the information about the polling is straight). There have been polling errors and late swings not about race - as Labour found to its cost in 1992 and 1970 - and it is difficult to separate out the race effects.Sunder Katwalahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06671411534003530927noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7985429043801017839.post-87384895253651498202008-10-13T22:03:00.000+01:002008-10-13T22:03:00.000+01:00I think Rachael is absolutely right to stress the ...I think Rachael is absolutely right to stress the hard-to-quantify white racism factor in this election. For an excellent discussion of this factor, see the article on the white working-class in the latest issue of the New Yorker.Stuart Whitehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05090728365798166746noreply@blogger.com