Saturday 15 November 2008

A tale of two polls

A YouGov poll in the Sunday Times has Labour within five points of the Conservatives, and back at the 36% which the party polled in 2005.

But the Independent on Sunday has a ComRes poll with an eleven point Tory lead, a rise of two and three points on their last Indy and Sindy polls. However, as John Rentoul reports, there are mixed views in the polling detail, with the charge of being "lightweight" sticking to the Tories and a marked decrease in those who think Labour will lose.

Conclusion? Politics is in flux again. And I doubt that polls between now and the end of the year are likely to prove a great guide to the electoral politics of Spring 2010.

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